Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.109204 0.118445 0.128326 0.139716 0.152529 0.166550 0.183125
2024-10-06 0.096045 0.109095 0.123971 0.142338 0.164620 0.191056 0.225223
2024-10-13 0.084055 0.098413 0.115492 0.137599 0.165894 0.201521 0.250817
2024-10-20 0.075292 0.090177 0.108462 0.133010 0.165791 0.209112 0.272594
2024-10-27 0.068739 0.083859 0.102931 0.129326 0.165869 0.216235 0.293922
2024-11-03 0.066840 0.083167 0.104356 0.134676 0.178379 0.241579 0.345112
2024-11-10 0.065670 0.083232 0.106644 0.141235 0.193098 0.271793 0.408979
2024-11-17 0.062650 0.080524 0.104847 0.141688 0.198670 0.288552 0.453538
2024-11-24 0.059229 0.077004 0.101605 0.139643 0.200043 0.298540 0.487735
2024-12-01 0.055900 0.073392 0.097956 0.136624 0.199458 0.305015 0.516335
2024-12-08 0.052502 0.069484 0.093618 0.132176 0.196049 0.306085 0.534372
2024-12-15 0.050359 0.067263 0.091615 0.131200 0.198269 0.317311 0.575186
2024-12-22 0.048329 0.065232 0.089970 0.130989 0.202354 0.333607 0.633319
2024-12-29 0.046959 0.064119 0.089673 0.133003 0.210684 0.359547 0.721433
2025-01-05 0.044219 0.060796 0.085743 0.128620 0.206921 0.360868 0.750422
2025-01-12 0.041748 0.057760 0.082088 0.124422 0.203059 0.361420 0.777739
2025-01-19 0.039653 0.055200 0.079046 0.121055 0.200429 0.364199 0.812034
2025-01-26 0.039438 0.055532 0.080653 0.125941 0.214327 0.405442 0.970624
2025-02-02 0.039424 0.056167 0.082777 0.131923 0.231188 0.457039 1.186809
2025-02-09 0.038354 0.055061 0.081926 0.132336 0.236513 0.481895 1.325925
2025-02-16 0.036948 0.053346 0.079949 0.130472 0.236731 0.493845 1.423521
2025-02-23 0.035477 0.051465 0.077594 0.127719 0.234709 0.499601 1.500002
2025-03-02 0.033871 0.049303 0.074660 0.123659 0.229383 0.495616 1.534562